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Estimating uncertainty in reactive transport modelling (X1t, X2t)

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Hi all,

I use X1t and X2t to predict phosphate concentrations from both dissolution reactors and within groundwaters. These models include lots of parameters, all of which have uncertainty associated with them. However, I am not sure how to estimate the uncertainty on the phosphate concentration that the RTM predicts. I could calculate it by propagating the error through the fundamental equations that the RTM use (SI, advection, dispersion, etc.), but I was wondering if there is a more straight-forward method through?

Thanks for your help,

Sam Bingham 

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